Tag Archives: delta variant

Vaccine Efficacy

In a free country, everyone must assess their own personal risk tolerance.

When considering vaccines in our unfree country, both the pro mandate and pro choice sides of the debate are reporting vaccine efficacy incorrectly. The correct way to evaluate it is thus:


If:

  1. Vaccination rates are 70%
  2. And infection hospitalization rate is 1%
  3. And 50% of hospitalizations have previously been vaccinated…

Then: the unvaxxed are 2.3 times more likely to be hospitalized, or you could say the vaccine is 57% effective (1 – .71%/1.67%).

But there’s more to it…

If hospitalizations are 1% of infections, then the true efficacy of the vaccine is 1% lower chance of hospitalizations vs no vaccination (1.67% – .71%).

Thus:

THE PROTECTION AFFORDED BY VACCINATION IS ABOUT A 1% REDUCED CHANCE OF HOSPITALIZATION!

In conclusion, if you advocate vaccine mandates based upon a 1% decrease in infection risk of hospitalization, you are drunk on authoritarian impulse.

COVID Questions

If masks work, why do maskers insist the unmasked wear them?

If vaccines work, why do the vaxxed insist the unvaxxed vaccinate?

If the pandemic is a pandemic of the unvaxxed, why are the vaxxed concerned?

If masks do not filter airborne virus, what is the purpose of masks?

If cases were in rapid decline before any significant portion of the populace was vaccinated, how can vaccines be credited?

If cases rose sharply after a significant portion of the population was vaccinated, why shouldn’t vaccines be blamed?

If vaccines work, why mamdate masks for the vaccinated?

If vaccines are necessary to stop the infection, why are between 35% and 75% of the hospitalizations among vaccinated?

If children are unaffected, why require them to be masked?

If infected children are not seriously affected, why vaccinate them?

If having COVID builds the most effective immunity, why require those who have had COVID to get vaccinated or wear masks?

Is there a compelling reason to take an experimental gene therapy that merely increases infection survivability from 99.6% to 99.8%?

If the vaccine does not prevent you from catching COVID, does not prevent you from dying of COVID, and does not prevent you from transmitting COVID, what compelling reason is there for taking it?

When, in human history, were those who promote censorship, martial law, and mandatory injections ever regarded as the good guys?