Tag Archives: COVID

COVID Vaccine May Trigger Organ Failure

The #Covid vaccine may cause a deadly cytokene storm during subsequent coronavirus infections. The vaccine triggers the production of proteins by healthy cells during infections that trigger antibody response. Your healthy cells might be attacked by your own anti-bodies.


Real COVID Data, Presented Without Commentary

The predicted deaths is an estimate of weekly deaths based on linear regression of continuous time series and seasonality is derived by assigning each week to one of 13 periods. Actual data from 2015 through 2019 is used to determine the predicted totals.
The excess deaths in 2020 through 12/5 stands at 310,000 according to this model.

COVID Projections Using Population Density

COVID Projections:

When looking at COVID fatality data, 2 things jumped out at me. 1) correlation between state population density and deaths per capita and 2) the shape of the curve of fatalities. If you build a model that estimates per capita fatalities using pop density and weeks beyond peak fatality day, you get a very strong predictor (89% R^2).

The (linear) equation is:
Est fatalities per million = -56 + 14 * (weeks from peak) + .92 * (Pop Density)

Where there are large differences between estimated and actual, one could hypothesize that they are an indication of where that state is in the “curve” or lifecycle of the outbreak.

States that are the farthest along in the curve (expect declining fatality counts) are as follows:

States that are the furthest behind (expect rising fatality counts) are as follows: